How did you come up with the idea of Talents?
Charles: "After 12 years at JPMorgan, I got fired. Rather than starting another job right away, I went far away deep into the mountains of Kerala in India to see a friend of mine. I stayed a month in the jungle there, eating only vegetables, and came up with the best analysis I had made in years: I realised that perhaps I was not a good analyst! There was no reason why I should be better than others.

 

What could I do from there?
I thought that it would be interesting to see why people become good at what they do, and focus on talented people. As these people make the difference, why not invest in talented people? This is why I created Talents in 2001.

 

At the beginning, we were very successful, 2001 performance was 30% above the MSCI World Index. At the time, I invested in talented entrepreneurs that were not necessarily large shareholders. Then came Vivendi. But I soon felt there was something wrong. In 2002, I even said in an interview with Bloomberg TV that the risk was that Jean Marie Messier was not a large shareholder and had less to lose than to win. Vivendi had too much debt and it almost went bankrupt.

 

That's when we decided to add two criteria in our process: that entrepreneurs should be major shareholders and that the companies should have little debt!"

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Why do you give away some of your secrets?
We want Talents investors to know what they own. The more we all invest this way, the more we will all support creativity, courage and long-term vision in our listed companies. People with creativity and courage need our support. We also wish to share our ideas and interact with our investors.

 

Contact us to suggest hidden "talents" and/or share your talents stories with us.

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How can you follow as many as 3,900 companies with a team of just three ?
It's not about following companies, it's about people. People do not change as fast as companies. We do not want to analyse each business model every quarter because we believe in the leaders instead.


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Could the size of the funds become too large over time?
We do not want excessive assets under management as we feel becoming too big would hurt performance. As of June 2008, we manage more than € 540 million. When we analyse the investments opportunities in the talents we spotted, we estimate our capacity to be above € 3 billion. 

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Is sustainability important when you decide to invest?
We would not necessarily invest in companies that claim to improve the Earth's sustainability. As our approach focuses on people, we prefer that the leaders themselves show us when we meet, that they personally act for their employees, our society and our planet. Moreover, it is one of the best criteria - making that they consider the long-term, taking into account factors others than pure profit.

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Why should people invest in Talents funds if they can invest directly in the listed companies of entrepreneurs?
The ability to spot talented entrepreneurs worldwide is a talent in itself. Our business is time-consuming and requires linguistic, cultural and business skills. The criteria to select talents are simple, but not all are intuitive.

 

"I made my biggest mistakes when I bought or sold a stock based on a view of the business and not of the people," says Charles Firmin-Didot; "it took me many years to get rid of the habit."

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Are market conditions taken into consideration?
We pay special attention to any change in market conditions and are experienced in adapting the investment approach accordingly.

Two examples:

  • After the September 2001 terrorist attacks, the strategy suffered due to its large position in Cendant, a company particularly exposed to the slowdown in the travel industry. Since then, we actively avoid excessive concentration in single stocks or sectors. The exceptions to this rule are the strategy's largest holding:
    • Financière de l'Odet - a well diversified conglomerate with little debt, which has represented close to 9% of the fund's net asset value,
    • and Softbank in Japan - which represented 9% of the portfolio following a strong and fast rise in value. The position was reduced to below 5% as soon as the portfolio manager deemed it appropriate.
  • After the 2001 and 2002 corporate governance scandals (Tyco, Enron: not owned – and Vivendi: owned), the portfolio manager focused principally on entrepreneurs who have a large stake in the company they manage.

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What is the portfolio breakdown by market capitalisation?
We do not target a specific market cap exposure, due to our stock selection process. Our universe contains a broad mix of market capitalisations and we actively manage the relative valuation between small, mid and large capitalisations. Each position size in the portfolio depends on diversification, liquidity and the market capitalisation of specific companies and on the manager's convictions.

Given that we do not target a specific market cap exposure, the weighted average market cap of the fund can be significantly different from that of the MSCI World for example, as illustrated in the chart below:

 

Isn't it risky to trust entrepreneurs?
It can be risky to trust people who do not have the same interest as you. All the entrepreneurs we invest in, with significant money in their own companies, share our interest: ensure long term profitable growth and make decisions with a good risk reward balance.

 

Let us compare a company managed by an "employed CEO" and one directly by an entrepreneur with all his money invested in the company. What is the potential loss for the first one? Not so much... For the entrepreneur? Everything!


We think that the best risk control is to make sure each leader is fully invested in the companies they run. Do not forget, Talents team members are also investors in the Talents funds.


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Are there any risks specific to the "Talents" funds?
Some of the main risks we see are:

Increased Protectionism
What if the US or Europe decides to limit Asian imports?
What if, to save ailing corporations, politicians block motivated competitors from trying to sell their new ideas? This represents a permanent threat to Talents.

Talents go private
Every month, a few of the talents we have spotted decide to take their company out of the stockmarket, as they are fed up with criticism from analysts. They are tempted by private equity funds that highly value managerial skills and offer the entrepreneurs to de-list. This is another long-term threat to Talents, although fortunately many entrepreneurs choose to remain listed, to construct interesting portfolios as they would have to pay a fair price to de-list.

Talents rarely hedge currency risk
One of the reasons we do not usually hedge currency risks is that our currency exposure is well diversified and that hedging the currency risk can be dangerous...as it is uncertain. Imagine you buy IBM shares. To hedge the US$ risk, you should only hedge the portion of IBM's future profits that will be in US$. Not many people know this figure, even IBM's CEO doesn't! We doubt that European investors hedge the US$ risk when they buy l'Oreal for example. As we rarely hedge currency risks and sometimes invest 70% outside the Euro, Talents could suffer from a dive in Yen or US$.
 

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Are higher oil prices a risk to Talents funds performance?
As Talents usually has little exposure to the oil sector, a strong rise in oil could hurt us in the short term. 2005 was an example as Talents did not perform better than the equity indices. However we believe that creative entrepreneurs will be able to pass the prices on to consumers. Also, if oil prices remain high, alternative energies will become real competitors to oil, opening new opportunities for Talents. We have spotted many entrepreneurs with listed alternative energy companies.


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How do you control risk?
"The best risk control is to make sure each leader is fully invested in the companies he runs" says Charles. Our entrepreneurs will suffer a lot if they take a risk that has a low probability of success.

Risk is assessed on a continuous basis through standard risk control models used by AXA IM and the team's proprietary tools.


We look at where companies' sales are generated rather than where their registered or head offices are. This ensures a greater control of geographical diversity and currency exposures. Additionally, simple and transparent measures (for example a PEG ratio of 2 in absolute terms, to trigger a sale) increase the objectivity and transparency of the risk management approach.

 

Finally and most importantly, the Talents funds invest in value creators with little or no debt. Long-term results are therefore less dependent on economic cycles than the index. This, from our point of view, is a much better definition of risk than the textbook volatility concept.
 

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